How to measure Alpha of your portfolio / fund
Posted by adminI was trying out the models developed by hedge funds, their strategies and portfolio management style. Applying their model onto my fund was already a challenging task, since I am a one-man resource.
Then I started thinking of measuring my performance. As a common phrase, you can’t manage and improve what you cannot measure. So I started to look at measurement metrics, and after going through tons of hedge fund books, I’ve found the term “Alpha” which also signify how well a fund perform in returns. It is also how the website Seekingalpha.com got its name after. ( And thanks to the book “The Quants” for giving me such knowledge.)
Now the main aim of the fund is to seek positive Alpha, and with a good Alpha, a fund manager can demand higher management fees ie. 1.5%, 2%per year of the total invested Capital. Well, getting better at Alpha remains a Mystery (kudos to Citadel who has the answers)
Now just how do we calculate Alpha ?
We need a few inputs, this gets a little mathematical~
- Returns / Gain in %
- Interest rates in %
- S&P500 returns in % (YTD, Monthly, quarterly etc) and depending on what index you want to – bench mark with
- Overall portfolio beta in value
To calculate returns %
Take your realized profits minus starting capital to percentage points. (since the date you want to measure)
To get interest rates %
Simply look at the Fed rates.
To get Index Returns %
Take the up to date value over the starting index, to percentage points. (since the date you want to measure)
To get Overall Beta in value
Browse at finance.google.com and get its beta for each and individual stock, add all of them up and average them out.
And heres the formula:
Alpha = Return% – Interest rates% – (S&P500% * 2)
Eg:
- Returns = 24%
- Interest rates = 2.0%
- S&P500 returns 12%
- Beta = 0.78%
Alpha = 24% – 2% – (12*0.78)
= 22% – 9.36%
= 12.64 %
Walla, your total Alpha to this date for your fund is 12.4%, and you can mostly charge your clients a good management fees if you can generate this returns over any market conditions.
Another example:
- Returns = 4%
- Interest rates = 1.0%
- S&P500 returns -9%
- Beta = 1.4%
Alpha = 4% – 1% – (-9*1.4)
= 3% – (-12.6%)
= 15.6 %
Wow not bad if your fund is able to get a 4% returns when the markets dropped a huge 9%.
Hope your calculate your own portfolio’s Alpha and compare it with the professionals!